NWCC Home. The advocates of this doctrine have dominated our law, our policies, our courts and our federal agencies ever since.”. Please try to do better if you are gonna gaslight. I’ve seen statues that were in place for over a hundred years get denounced as racist, and then torn down. Refusing to look because the results might not support what you want to believe isn’t very scientific. This erasure is not just unscientific, it’s dishonest and possibly fraudulent. However, the early USFS wildfire activity summaries do include millions of hectares of intentional burning on ‘unprotected’ lands, which, until approximately the mid-20th century was viewed by the USFS as akin to wildfire, as something that should be prevented and ultimately eradicated (Pyne 1982).”[2]. The wildfires are linked in the head post, prescribed fires are detailed here: https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/statistics/prescribed-fire Bet not. But simply eliminating the data, especially at a low point, screams manipulation for narrative’s sake. It’s simple, and as Svensmark puts it – cloud cover dictates climate. This information is gathered from the Incident … Information received from the National ICS-209 incident reporting database for large fires is updated each morning, and shows what has been reported by the Incident Commander the previous day at 7:00 PM. You got debunked pretty hard there. That us not the definition of a controlled burn. Human-caused fires result from campfires left unattended, the burning of debris, equipment use and malfunctions, negligently discarded cigarettes, and intentional acts of arson.”, https://www.nps.gov/articles/wildfire-causes-and-evaluation.htm. In that case the GHG theory brings with it a necessary condition – there is an accompanying necessary (but not sufficient) condition that there must also be a warmer region about 10km above the tropics, a “hot spot”. They faithfully kept all records with a pencil, but to say it wasn’t reliable is an insult. Glad to see more detailed exposure to government climate data fraud, manipulation, and blatant hypocrisy (to name just a few). https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt. This is likely a significant reason why the NIFC isn’t showing data prior to 1983. Interestingly, the history on the Internet Wayback Machine shows how NIFC rationalized this erasure of important public data. 1.3 Overview The workflows described in this document utilize templates on the National Interagency Fire Center Organization (NIFC Org); this is an ArcGIS Online (AGOL) account/organization. Trying to compare annual fire seasons by acreage burned is like trying to measure the strength of hurricanes by the number of people displaced. Have never seen skies as red as that since then, When Yellowstone burned (1988??? Clearly, wildfires were far worse in the past, and clearly, now the data tells an entirely different story when showing only data post-1983. Please take this opportunity to research the “actual history” of which you are ignorant, before somebdy less nice calls you on it. Because if you look at their entire records since they started taking them, there’s no real “heating” to talk about. The four fires burned a total of .8 (eight-tenths) acre. https://flatheadbeacon.com/2021/05/12/kalispells-temperature-stays-steady-with-drier-summers/. Similarly, for every story about “what a bad wildfire season we’ve had”, the press cites the number of fires as well as the acreage burned. Most of the area burned during this period was in the Southeastern United States (South RPA Region) and were primarily incendiary fires. I’m torn; should all data from uncertain/unverified sources be deleted, or should all data, however produced, be published along with uncertainty analysis and detail methods of production? The important take is that all past data are accessible. Invented data? These POLICY decisions resulted in fuel accumulation, withheld suppression, and megafires. The new story told by the sanitized data is in alignment with the irrational screeching of climate alarmists that “wildfires are driven by climate change”. If this 1.3-million year trend continues then another glaciation is next. Just look at the graph superimposing wildfires in the US with drought conditions in the west. response. You “think you know” the answer not because of any documented evidence, but because you have a strongly held preconception. According to the Internet Wayback Machine, that caveat first appeared on the NIFC data page somewhere between January 14 and March 7 of 2018. In other words, it sure seems like the NIFC is saying “we showed up one day and the data was here already. This story map is no longer being updated. The new philosophy is to manage the fire away from structures as much as possible, and let it burn itself through the deadwood covered forests as it would naturally do. OK, then remove all arson and accidential fires from the current records too. In Bradbury’s Fahrenheit 451 inconvenient books were burned by firemen. Information shown for each fire incident on the current day may not reflect changes made since the previous days ICS-209 input. The high number of fires in the 1st half of 1900’s is an artifact of bad government policy. Human-Caused Climate Change is the biggest fraud in human history and the wildfire data is just a continuation of the lies. The fact remains nothing in this chart rebuts what climate scientists are saying about wildfires. This site has been created to share authoritative content developed by partners of the National Interagency Fire Center. As the entire record thus becomes too short to establish a climate, it means climate change is not possible. International Journal of Wildland Fire 24, 883-891. Seriously though, how do the people doing this sleep at night? Most of the burned area on unprotected lands comes from FL, GA, and MS – that’s a total of 173 square miles. 9 - British Columbia Fires . From here, the early part of the dataset is not showing the same thing as the more recent part. Cancel Culture is rife in science and culturally. where it used to be was scrubbed of content. If you really doubt the amount of acres burned read about the fires in 1910. b. https://notrickszone.com/2021/04/01/physicists-lab-experiment-shows-a-co2-increase-from-0-04-to-100-leads-to-no-observable-warming/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=physicists-lab-experiment-shows-a-co2-increase-from-0-04-to-100-leads-to-no-observable-warming Which implies that the source the blogger mis-understands is quite willing to compare the two halves of the graph. And the didn’t have computers back then, so any numbers they added together would have been just a guess. They mention ‘urban wilding’ as a factor- the tendency for increasing populations and prosperity to spread out into forested suburbs and a lack of associated clearance. This aligns their narrative with the whole-of-government AGW narrative. So NIFC deletion has nothing to do with the AGW meme that CO2 is causing more wildfires, claiming an upward trend; being rebutted by the original chart showing the opposite trend; and cropping the chart at 1983 shows the trend that fits the meme. Even if it were allowed, the record would only consist of the Automated Weather Station data of the most recent type. Note figure 2 below, combining the number of fires and number of acres burned. Have you considered this- they DID ferret out that data and found it still put the lie to their catastrophe story? Because, as they have been saying for some time, they don’t believe it is true, and aren’t prepared to put their name to it? – motto of the Royal Society (take nobody’s word for it). https://andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2015/10/30/the-mysterious-wildfire-chart/ So it appears that much of the pre-1960 data were related to incendiary forest fires (per http://www.interfire.org/features/wildfires.asp, an incendiary fire is one that is set intentionally) and not to true wildfires. They are what we now call “controlled” or “prescribed” burns, and they were intentionally set fires for controlling vegetation growth. What we have here is data collected and charted by U.S. govt that sat quietly unnoticed. so show me exactly where the data is “not” hidden on NIFC. According to. Prior to 1983, sources of these figures are not known, or cannot be confirmed, and were not derived from the current situation reporting process. They did not include data before 1983 because they did not support their narrative-period. How hard is that to compile and verify as accurate?”, Al Gore and Bill Nye FAIL at doing a simple CO2 experiment, List of excuses for ‘The Pause’ in global warming, Climate Change Will Increase the Number and Severity of Tornadoes. I’ve flown over the Arctic Ice at 40,000ft on three occasions going to Beijing from Toronto – past the east coast of Greenland over the Arctic Basin and across Siberia. Curiously, that caveat appeared just a few weeks after I first drew wide attention to the issue in December 2017, with an article citing NIFC fire data titled Is climate change REALLY the culprit causing California’s wildfires? “This sort of unscrupulous behaviour will be their undoing.”. In particular, the early data seem to be showing area burned for both intentional burns and wildfires, while the later data are showing area burned for wildfires only. Tony Heller had long ago “gained traction” on Youtube, but has been repeatedly kicked off that Marxist propaganda train. If they know that the older data contains data from controlled burns, then remove the controlled burns from the older data. Although now used to a lesser extent (but on both federal and non-federal lands) in the US, intentional burning is not classified in the current reporting systems as ‘wildfire’ unless the controlled burn escapes and requires a suppression. When the sun is inactive the lower atmosphere receives more cosmic rays which leads to more cloud cover. But my favorite example is NPS in Utah; in 2020 three lightning fires burned zero acres. No governmental organization can be trusted. Redirect; Redirect; Return to content Send keyboard focus to media. This wholesale erasure of important public data stinks, but in today’s narrative control culture that wants to rid us of anything that might be inconvenient or doesn’t fit the “woke” narrative, it isn’t surprising. More sun radiation is reflected back to space so less radiation reaches the earth’s surface which leads to cooling. The post doesn’t even keep its geography straight. Sun activity (sun spots) has recently gone quiet. a. Cherry picking, suppressing evidence, or the fallacy of incomplete evidence is the act of pointing to individual cases or data that seem to confirm a particular position while ignoring a significant portion of related and similar cases or data that may contradict that position. New data good, old data bad. “… show the public the ‘crisis side’ of climate data.”, With By disappearing all data prior to 1983, which just happens to be the lowest point in the dataset, now all of the sudden we get a positive slope of worsening wildfire aligning with increased global temperature, which is perfect for claiming “climate change is making wildfire worse”. [1] Short et al. And most of the area burned in the Southeast comes from just three states – Florida, Georgia and Mississippi. https://www.fs.fed.us/research/sustain/docs/national-reports/2003/data/documents/Indicator%2015/Indicator%2015.pdf, Biden Administration Erasing Climate History, https://www.fs.fed.us/research/sustain/docs/national-reports/2003/data/documents/Indicator%2015/Indicator%2015.pdf, Global temps cool in 2021! Sorry Mark, I was looking at the adjusted data. Mr. jarves: Thanks for the memory, I do recall that news. https://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/intelligence/2020_statssumm/fires_acres20.pdf I remember thinking that copying data would not make them frantic, point-n-clic. smiling!? Wonder why the NIFC felt the need to review this, was it because you and Mr. Stokes contacted the NIFC with your concerns about the quality of the old data? In recent years, the role of the agencies at NIFC has grown to include all types of fire management, including hazardous fuels treatments, integrated fire and land-use planning, and more. So they decided not to. Thanks for the careful review. Part of our fire training included study of the 1910 and the 1930 fires. HINT: YOU CAN’T BECAUSE THE FACTS SPEAK FOR THEMSELVES HERE. Over time those changes add up. Takes great photos. The National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) has been the keeper of U.S. wildfire data for decades, tracking both the number of wildfires and acreage burned all the way back to 1926. But it does note the caveat that they had been showing for years: “…Prior to 1983, sources of these figures are not known, or cannot be confirmed, and were not derived from the current situation reporting process. – Jonathon Moseley, American Thinker, “…flashy (apparently widely distributed)”– Michael E. Mann, Material on this website is copyright © 2006-2021, by Anthony Watts, and may not be stored or archived separately, rebroadcast, or republished without written permission. NIFC Hours. See figure 1 below for a before and after comparison of what the data looks like when you plot it. The popular belief is that increasing CO2 causes global warming which not only warms the oceans, but also causes glacier melt. Unfortunately the major news media has now become an activist for these entities;. Also, when ever I make a comment to someone else’s content, YouTube immediately erases my comments! Let’s call that 250 million hectares for fun. That feedback claim depends on the applicability of the greenhouse gas theory to actions which involve the open atmosphere. How hard is that to compile and verify as accurate? Accepting reality is anathema today.. Who said it is “data”? Some indications of the arrival of cooling are the temperatures since 2016, (see Dr. Roy Spencer’s graph), also February 2021 was the coolest in about four decades. Mostly he shows the true records from the past, or shoves their own words and works back in their faces as proven wrong. A foot or two of water covering the Big Apple is hardly comparable to sitting under a mile high glacier for a goodly portion of the next 90,000 years. Here is some more information on the subject. incendiary fires refers to arson, not controlled burns. The alarmists could have tried to go through old data to ferret out “intentional” acreage to dispute this, instead (great surprise) they throw out valid data to preserve their meme. And now, after decades of that data being provided to the press and the public, and nearly a decade of NIFC making it publicly available on their website, they want us to believe that it is now unreliable data? This is clearly a misuse of public money. OK, let’s have some history. These summaries are not providing straight up wildfire numbers. You’re making an assumption that there is actually a way to seperate out the historic controlled burn area from the total area burned, which is not necessarily true. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. As a result, there is no official data prior to 1983 posted on this site. Fires: 11,287: Acres: 222,511: 2018 (1/1/18-5/06/18) Fires: 19,149: Acres: 1,417,043: 2017 (1/1/17-5/06/17) Fires: 20,930: Acres: 2,017,265: 2016 (1/1/16-5/06/16) Fires: 16,711: Acres: 1,476,691: 2015 (1/1/15-5/06/15) Fires: 16,728: Acres: 341,248: 2014 (1/1/14-5/06/14) Fires: 20,025: Acres: 382,804: 2013 (1/1/13-5/06/13) Fires: 13,543: Acres: 159,380: 2012 (1/1/12-5/06/12) What’s worse is that this data has been trusted for decades in almost every news story about any wildfire that ever occurred in the U.S. On Wednesday a Los Angeles Times investigation revealed that, among other things, fires related to homeless encampments have nearly tripled. The relevant table p537 is here: The numbers in protected areas are small, comparable to modern. The Battle for the Truth about Global Warming, “…invaluable” – Steven F. Hayward, The Weekly Standard, “…changed the world and is one of the most influential resources on global warming. I did post it there (link follows). Disgusting! 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